Tag Archives: GDP

What deflation will do to future US GDP.


It is now an established fact that Japan has been mired in deflation for the last 18 years. It meant no economic growth as manifested in the below GDP graph. Assuming that USA is now in the early stages of a similar, if not much stronger, deflationary depression, we may be able to project future US GDP growth/contraction based on the Japanes experience.

EU Finances Are Looking Grim. Deflation will not be denied.


As the clowns in European fiancial elite circles are still trying to figure out whether or not they are in deflation, the big D is now solidly in charge of the region. As private credit is collapsing the Euro-zone governments and Central Banks are desperately trying to reinflate by pumping up the public debt and using the proceeds for spending. Yet the reflation is finding itself oddly overpowered by the deflationary wind blowing against it. Sooner or later this public debt bubble, and a huge one, will reach its maximum size and start letting the hot air out. When that happens, there will be nobody to guarantee the sovereign debts. The longer the deflation is delayed, the stronger it will be.