Tag Archives: Euro

Currency composition of FX reserves of world’s central banks.


Here you can find a useful graph of the currency composition of FX reserves for the 114 reporting countries’ central banks.

The Marginal Productivity of Debt.


The key to understanding the problem is the marginal productivity of debt, a concept curiously missing from the vocabulary of mainstream economics. Keynesians take comfort in the fact that total debt as a percentage of total GDP is safely below 100 in the United States while it is 100 and perhaps even more in some other countries. However, the significant ratio to watch is additional debt to additional GDP, or the amount of GDP contributed by the creation of $1 in new debt. It is this ratio that determines the quality of debt. Indeed, the higher the ratio, the more successful entrepreneurs are in increasing productivity, which is the only valid justification for going into debt in the first place.

Empty nonsense talk from European policy makers.


It is time to end globalism, time to end European Union, time to abandon Euro currency and shut down the Brussels parasitic state once and for all. European people don’t need their stinking opinions on how to run their lives. The sooner this modern economic and political systems come down, the sooner we’ll all breathe easily. It applies to all countries around the world.

Dubai default is DEFLATION.


When a debtor reneges on its loan repayment obligations or asks to postpone them this is deflation by definition. The debts that cannot be repayed are defaulted on and so the total debt outstanding in the economy deflates. And what about prices? The prices on real estate in Dubai are down as much as 50% since the beginning of the world financial crisis. So when debt deflation takes hold assets lose value and cause even more defaults. We say that we are in a deflationary spiral then. When it stops is a big question, but given world wide government intervention in free markets this almost assures that the so much needed adjustment will take a long and painful haul. Yet the prices will get to their natural level in spite of all government actions to support them.

One can hope that the Dubai default situation will give a much needed kick to accelerate the process of deflation and wipe out the speculators and their central bank friends.

Here goes Dubai.

Deflationary consumer attitudes: Beds made of hay are latest hotel craze in Europe.


Ultimately deflation is rooted in consumer attitudes toward taking on more debt for speculative and consumption purposes. When the proverbial consumer finally reaches the point when he is no longer capable of taking on more debt, an anti-deflationary mind set becomes entrenched and no Central Bank in the world with all its stimulative programs can kick start spending and encourage businesses and individuals to take on more debt. It is not the levels of debt that are catastrophic and lead to its deflation, but it is the inability or unwillingness of debtors to take on more debt is what spells doom for the finance “industry” and the rest of so called economy, which in reality is just a consumption mirage based on fiat money that supports inordinate levels of debt. The point of catastrophe has been reached and we are now gleefully deflating. Deflation can take many forms, such as walking away from your negative equity house, cutting your credit card debt, not being able to get a loan from a bank, or from booking a room in a Hay Hotel. This is a sign of times and only confirms the deflationary trend that, hopefully, will take a very firm hold and straighten this world economy for good.

Deflation is here and now and everywhere.


If one were to listen to the policy makers and news media, one might think that deflation may still be averted and has not yet arrived. But if one reads the official economic statistics from around the world one will see that deflationary spiral has already arrived and is beginning its whirlwind motions in earnest.

In a snub to ECB’s denial of deflation European Prices Fall 0.6%.


The question is now when will the European Central Bank finally admit that there is deflation in Eurozone?

EU Finances Are Looking Grim. Deflation will not be denied.


As the clowns in European fiancial elite circles are still trying to figure out whether or not they are in deflation, the big D is now solidly in charge of the region. As private credit is collapsing the Euro-zone governments and Central Banks are desperately trying to reinflate by pumping up the public debt and using the proceeds for spending. Yet the reflation is finding itself oddly overpowered by the deflationary wind blowing against it. Sooner or later this public debt bubble, and a huge one, will reach its maximum size and start letting the hot air out. When that happens, there will be nobody to guarantee the sovereign debts. The longer the deflation is delayed, the stronger it will be.

Europe digs its economic grave while the ECB answers to no one.


You cannot have an economic growth without natural population growth. We can’t seriously believe that by importing millions upon millions of culturally and economically incongruous third world laborers and their families European economy can somehow continue to grow. Those folks are not big spenders, and more often then not, they subtract from an economy more than they add due to their overwhelming propensity to depend on public assistance.

Ireland’s June deflation speeds way past eurozone.


Ireland’s economy is now undeniable in CPI deflation. Arguably it is so because their private sector indebtedness ration was almost twice as high as that as of the rest of the Eurozone. So they are deflating more.