Tag Archives: euro-zone

The Marginal Productivity of Debt.


The key to understanding the problem is the marginal productivity of debt, a concept curiously missing from the vocabulary of mainstream economics. Keynesians take comfort in the fact that total debt as a percentage of total GDP is safely below 100 in the United States while it is 100 and perhaps even more in some other countries. However, the significant ratio to watch is additional debt to additional GDP, or the amount of GDP contributed by the creation of $1 in new debt. It is this ratio that determines the quality of debt. Indeed, the higher the ratio, the more successful entrepreneurs are in increasing productivity, which is the only valid justification for going into debt in the first place.

Empty nonsense talk from European policy makers.


It is time to end globalism, time to end European Union, time to abandon Euro currency and shut down the Brussels parasitic state once and for all. European people don’t need their stinking opinions on how to run their lives. The sooner this modern economic and political systems come down, the sooner we’ll all breathe easily. It applies to all countries around the world.

G7’s Sheeple Distraction in IQALUIT, Canada, while Central Bankers Meet Secretly in Australia.


We don’t know what the Central Bankers will be discussing during their secret two day meeting in Australia, but what we know is that you don’t hold a well publicized G7 economic ministers meeting at the same time for no reason. If the CBs need a distraction that means that something is very grave and serious is going on. Whether we are on the verge of a new panic and financial crisis or something else, but it cant be good. Perhaps the sovereign debt issues in Europe are on the verge of causing a big monetary implosion and stock markets collapse.

Dubai default is DEFLATION.


When a debtor reneges on its loan repayment obligations or asks to postpone them this is deflation by definition. The debts that cannot be repayed are defaulted on and so the total debt outstanding in the economy deflates. And what about prices? The prices on real estate in Dubai are down as much as 50% since the beginning of the world financial crisis. So when debt deflation takes hold assets lose value and cause even more defaults. We say that we are in a deflationary spiral then. When it stops is a big question, but given world wide government intervention in free markets this almost assures that the so much needed adjustment will take a long and painful haul. Yet the prices will get to their natural level in spite of all government actions to support them.

One can hope that the Dubai default situation will give a much needed kick to accelerate the process of deflation and wipe out the speculators and their central bank friends.

Here goes Dubai.

Does the world have the courage to deal with its debts?


Quite a sensible article from an MSM source, Telegraph of UK, that aptly discusses the real state of things on the Central Banks’ front of deflationary fighting and suggests several solutions out of this global economic crisis. I, however, do not agree with the proposed solution ouf of indebtedness problem that we the people should pay down the debts as the author puts it “very slowly, by sweat and toil”. This contradicts the very natural economic self-interest of the majority of hundreds of millions of people that were either duped into borrowing by financial wizards or had to do it as they saw no other way of being able to afford things as the wages stagnated for decades. No, I propose to default on all the debts, walk away and let the owners of this world financial system have it. I in essense call for a debt revolt, stick it to them and let them be crushed under their own debts.

Japanese bonds and Swiss National Bank err on the side of deflation.


Unlike Government orchestrated propaganda campaign to proclaim imminent recovery, the Government bonds investors and Central Bankers know that deflation is no where near the end. Both Japanese Government bond prices and Swiss National Bank officials tells us – deflation is here and not going away.

Deflation is here and now and everywhere.


If one were to listen to the policy makers and news media, one might think that deflation may still be averted and has not yet arrived. But if one reads the official economic statistics from around the world one will see that deflationary spiral has already arrived and is beginning its whirlwind motions in earnest.

Swiss consumer prices post sharpest fall in 50 years.


As we can now clearly see devaluing one’s currency, as it was done a few months ago by the Swiss National Bank, did nothing to stop CPI from falling. And the sooner the prices fall the sooner will this prolonged slump end. This is economics 101, but the Central Bankers don’t want to admit it and keep tinkering with interest rates and quantitative easing policies.

In a snub to ECB’s denial of deflation European Prices Fall 0.6%.


The question is now when will the European Central Bank finally admit that there is deflation in Eurozone?

Global deflation pandemic begins to brew.


Behind a global deflation virus is a collapse of demand in the U.S. Unless the economic engine in the U.S. can get cranking again, deflation could keep spreading.